• about  betting and African Foootball
• the difference between fractional and decimal odds
• tables: how the odds are changing throughout the Nations Cup

This is why The Shot has decided to make a feature on betting although it has to be warned of the dangers of obsession and financial losses. Especially when it is so easy to bet from home with a mouseclick only.

Sportsbooks are the experts of the game. They have to make good judgements before they give odds, because wrong odds will become costly to them. Normally their odds are based not only upon the knowledge of the teams but also upon statistical analysis.
The odds are in a relation to a probability of an event as estimated by the company who offers the bets.
This is why Sportsbooks are a good basis for rankings of the teams.

The following odds are based on Sportingodds who are doing a special on the African Nations Cup and are offering special bets connected to this.

They provide The Shot users with a special advertising link and promise to offer you free bets if you use this link to open an account. After the event it will be seen whether this is a possibility to further expand the penetration of the African game into the world of football and a possible support for the building of The-Shot.Net. 
(The Shot has no experience with betting with this company and is not responsable for the offered bets)
 

Attention: There are several ways to display odds. Sportingodds is an English sportsbook and in England it is more common to display in fractional odds. The Shot has converted those odds in the tables below into decimal odds, which are more common in the rest of Europe.

What is the difference?
Fractional odds of 15/10 means: if you win the bet you will win 15, if you lose it you will lose 10. Of course it will depend on how much you stake. If you stake 1 you will win 1.5 or lose that 1. If you stake 2 you will win 3 or lose that 2. etc.
Decimal odds will display the same as 2.5. They are already considering your stake. It means the return will be 2.5 times your stake but it will include your stake already. So odds 15/10 and 2.5 are the same.
Some more examples

fractional	decimal
11/10	2.1
1/1	2
4/1	5
50/1	51
4/6	1.67

In reality decimal are nothing else than fractional+1 (which is your stake)

The development of odds for winning the Nations Cup after the first matches:
-Egypt and South Africa quickly lost much of the pre tournament bonus. Too quickly?
-North Africans Morocco and Tunisia were considered too strong, tournament outsiders DR Congo are still in the race at quarter final stage.

	before tourn.	after 1 match	after 2 m.	after 3 m.	after qf.
Cameroon	4	3,25	2,875	2,75	2,5
South Africa	4,33	7,5	11	6,5
Nigeria	5,5	3,75	4	3,5	2,75
Morocco	6,5	10	8
Tunisia	7	11	19
Senegal	7,5	5	4,5	5	5
Egypt	10	21	13	13
Côte d'Ivoire	12	17	34
Togo	34	41	51
Ghana	41	34	26	17
Mali	51	51	34	11	7
Zambia	51	51	151
Liberia	67	51	51
Algeria	67	67	51
Burkina Faso	101	67	81
DR Congo	151	151	151	26

The derived likelihood of a Nations Cup victory for the 16 teams after the sportsbooks assessments. 
-Senegal quickly jumped from position 6 to 3
-before quarter-finals: three main classes of favorites. Egypt only in the last group.

	before tourn.	after 1 match	after 2 m.	after 3 m.	after qf.
Cameroon	17,7%	22,7%	25,8%	28,7%	36,2%
South Africa	16,3%	9,8%	6,7%	12,1%
Nigeria	12,8%	19,7%	18,6%	22,5%	32,9%
Morocco	10,9%	7,4%	9,3%
Tunisia	10,1%	6,7%	3,9%
Senegal	9,4%	14,8%	16,5%	15,8%	18,1%
Egypt	7,1%	3,5%	5,7%	6,1%
Côte d'Ivoire	5,9%	4,3%	2,2%
Togo	2,1%	1,8%	1,5%
Ghana	1,7%	2,2%	2,9%	4,6%
Mali	1,4%	1,4%	2,2%	7,2%	12,9%
Zambia	1,4%	1,4%	0,5%
Liberia	1,1%	1,1%	1,5%
Algeria	1,1%	1,4%	1,5%
Burkina Faso	0,7%	1,1%	0,9%
DR Congo	0,5%	0,5%	0,5%	3,0%